GEO Investing

Why is it so important to join us in our live events like the Fireside Chats and Management Morning Briefings. The Fireside Chats are by invitation only, and are intended to accomplish several things like: Learning about company management and their histories, qualifications and goals; A conceptual understanding of the companies in general; Question and answer sessions that both we and our members can take a part in; Garner any new bits of information that might make for actionable moves on our part

In our July 7, 2022 podcast with Tobias Carlisle, the Founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple, we got a really great perspective on this subject matter that fits nicely in the narrative of large cap overvaluation vs. opportunity in smaller stocks poised for growth on the basis of their underlying fundamentals.

He visited a phrase coined the “Nifty Fifty” that in two instances, decades ago, was applied to a group of stocks that were very relevant to investors who were looking to capitalize on what turned out to be disruptive, or popular high growth stocks, like $MS, $GE and $WMT. Tobias recounted how history kind of repeated itself on these two occasions – during a boom in the 1960s to 70s, and in the wildly notorious dot com era, however it was not just relegated to those time periods.

He pointed to other historical patterns when investors successfully sought only high growth stocks, but while that was the ebb, the antithesis was the subsequent flow of value that crept into the equation –  the so-called mitigator, the antidote – to keep things in check for a while after growth stocks or markets corrected. 

If it’s one thing that the last 30 years have shown me, it’s that there’s always a counterculture brewing somewhere, and that it manifests itself in many forms. Political, societal, music, and fashion norms are written in history until they are challenged and rewritten. At times, they even become the norm again as if to succumb to some kind of reincarnation helped along by generations exploring a side of life that they’ve read or heard about but never experienced. In most cases, an entirely unique chapter emerges for an undetermined period of time, leaving those set in their ways scratching their heads in wonderment as to “how this could have happened”.

Our company of the month is a leading provider of innovative solutions to recurring problems to keep the air in the environment clean. We had the pleasure of interviewing both their CEO and CFO in a Live Fireside Chat this past month and we were happy to learn more about the company and hear their insights into its growth strategy.

The company reported blowout Q1 2022 results with sales nearly tripling to ~$85 million vs. the prior year, with an EPS ballooning to around $0.60 vs. a loss. We believe we could be looking at a real home-run here, even in the short-run. 

It was due time for a conversation between The Acquirer’s Multiple founder Tobias Carlisle and our own Maj Soueidan as they navigated the various current affairs and subjects of the small and microcap world and outlook for value investing strategies.  The first time they met was on Tobias’ own show, and we only thought it appropriate to reciprocate by hosting him this time. Several of the subjects were very familiar to us, especially those that included how the last decade of investing in microcaps has been a bit tricky. So, naturally, the conversation parlayed into the various strategies and mindsets needed to be a successful investor.