On January 22, 2025, GeoInvesting and MS Microcaps, which published the Cliff Notes Substack, co-hosted the Starting Five Virtual Conference #3. This time, it consisted of a round table hosted by me, in which I tackled a variety of investment related topics with Sebastian Krog (private investor, founder of Treasure Hunting Substack), Jason Hirschman (Managing Director, Hudson 215 Capital), Sam Namiri (Portfolio Manager, Ridgewood Investments) and Sean Westropp (founder Deep Sail Capital). As usual, we all pitched some of our favorite stocks. The featured guests backgrounds and pitches can be viewed by clicking through below:
—
By the way MS Microcaps’ fourth premium event in the Starting Five series will be from March 3 to 7, 2025, so you have plenty of time to try either GeoInvesting’s Premium Service (start below) or MS Microcaps’ Cliff Notes (at Substack)
~ Maj Soueidan
About The Buy on Pullback Model Portfolios
Buy on Pullback Model Portfolios are aimed at swiftly capitalizing on mispriced opportunities in the market, identifying stocks experiencing negative or muted reactions to positive news or downside overreactions to negative news that we see as temporary.
Misunderstood company developments, emotions, or negative market sentiment can often be at the core of the mispricing, so the pullbacks often stem from investor overreactions and may not necessarily reflect the underlying fundamentals of the business.
High-conviction Open Forum Picks
High-conviction Open Forum Picks arise from analysis of an already bullish basket of stocks in our coverage universe. One timely stock per month is highlighted in our Live Monthly Forum Virtual Events and added to the Focus Model Portfolio, with expectations that a short-term 50% to 100% upside is possible. All Open Forums are archived on our premium portal. upside is possible.
During MS Microcaps’ 1/22/2025 Starting Five Virtual Conference #3, several investors—led by Maj Soueidan—talked about whether and how they incorporate politics, macroeconomic trends, and market cycles into their investment approaches, especially in the microcap space. Below is a breakdown of the main themes and insights that emerge from the conversation:
Maj Soueidan opens the discussion by questioning whether politics, macroeconomics, or market cycles influence investment decisions. Sean Westropp from Deep Sail responds that, when evaluating microcap stocks and conducting long-term investment research, it’s best to minimize political considerations. However, given his involvement in short-selling, he remains mindful of market cycles and acknowledges that political events, such as those under the Trump administration, have had a noticeable impact on market behavior. He notes the potential for a speculative bubble, particularly given extreme valuation levels, and suggests the current bull market may be in its late stages.
Maj notes that stocks are rallying in anticipation of Trump’s potential policies, particularly regarding AI spending. He questions whether Trump will be able to follow through on his initiatives. Sean responds that Trump may modify existing legislation, such as Biden’s infrastructure bill, potentially keeping certain provisions while cutting out green initiatives. He highlights recent AI investment announcements, particularly regarding Texas-based AI infrastructure, which could benefit companies like TSSI.
What is The Starting Five?
The Starting Five Virtual Conference is a recurring event series hosted by MS Microcaps. The format varies, sometimes featuring presentations and stock pitches from five different investors and industry experts, other times showcasing five microcap company management teams, or even a combination of both. These conferences offer a platform to share investment strategies and insights into specific stock opportunities, while also providing a behind-the-scenes look at the culture and operations of the invited companies. This dynamic format ensures each event delivers fresh perspectives and valuable information for microcap investors.
Maj considers whether the market has already priced in the AI-related tailwinds for TSS, given its ties to Dell and the hyperscaler market. He speculates that TSS may look to acquire businesses for diversification and highlights the company’s government division as a key revenue driver. However, he raises concerns about the sustainability of demand once hyperscalers complete their data center build-outs, questioning whether smaller businesses will pick up the slack. He remains uncertain about the long-term revenue trajectory but acknowledges potential growth opportunities.
Sean suggests that recent AI-related spending may be more of a financing strategy for OpenAI rather than a true new investment push. He notes that major players, like SoftBank’s Masa Son, may be structuring these deals to bring in external funding. He also references Elon Musk’s claim that there isn’t actually $500 billion allocated for AI investment, but rather a significantly lower figure.
Jason Hirschman from Hudson 215 Capital shifts the conversation back to the unpredictability of politics in investment decisions. He points out that major geopolitical and economic events, such as 9/11 and COVID-19, were unforeseeable and had significant policy ramifications. Given that most federal spending is tied up in entitlements, he argues that policy changes affecting specific stocks are often minor and difficult to forecast.
Maj agrees, explaining that he mitigates political risks through portfolio diversification. He prefers investing in strong businesses and treating favorable policy outcomes as added bonuses rather than core investment theses. However, he remains open to exploring investment opportunities once concrete trends emerge, particularly when government money begins flowing into specific sectors.
About The Weekly Wrap Up
This is a comprehensive weekly premium email newsletter that encapsulates all the significant updates and insights from the week, just in case you were not unable to catch up with our coverage from daily Morning Emails during the week, as well research content we save for the weekend. Each issue begins with a topical introduction, followed by a recap of our mail summaries.
About Our Daily Premium Emails
These emails provide you with essential updates to start your day, relating to our over 1,500 microcap company coverage universe. Updates include:
Top Performance Across All GeoInvesting Model Portfolios and Screens (In January 2025)
New 52-Week Highs Across All GeoInvesting Model Portfolios/Screens
>25% Gainers Across All GeoInvesting Model Portfolios/Screens
>25% Gainers Across Contributor Index
New 52-Week Highs From Contributor Index
Please also note that year to date, we’ve published 45 video clips parsed from a combined 4 Investor Insights, Fireside Chats, Management Morning Briefings and Expert Insights.
So far in 2025, apart from daily emails and weekly GeoWire Content, we have published a combined 49 pieces of Premium content (including video clips) across the segments detailed in the appendix, versus 335 pieces of Premium content in 2024.
To see more details on our full record of earnings dating back to 2023, please go here.
Earnings Processed, YTD to January 31, 2025
Earnings were a bit slow in January, but Q4 reports are starting to pour in during February.
We processed 6 reports in January 2025. As a reminder our 2024 full year total was 334.
Content Distribution Key
Written
9 Research Report & “Reasons For Tracking” (RFT) pieces: Articles are in-depth stock analysis columns focusing on qualitative and quantitative aspects of stocks, while RFTs are shorter, concise research on stock ideas. Learn more about our services.
5 Contributor Articles – Investors we invite to publish their analyses on microcap stocks as well as market forces and industry trends that impact the world of microcap investing.
Audio
8 PodClips – Audio clips consisting of quick “hot take” follow-ups to management interviews, brainstorms on a new stock idea and updates on current ideas.
1 Skull Session Expert Insights (via Twitter Spaces) (NEW) – Recorded and live podcasts that feature conversations with industry experts.
Video
22 Skull Session Fireside Chats – Live/archived video events with management to discuss a company’s entire business plan, growth initiatives and risk factors.
13 Skull Session Management Morning Briefings (MMBs) – Live/archived update video events with management to discuss key developments.
7 Skull Session Investor Insights (picking up the pace here) – Recorded and live podcasts that feature conversations with Investors we invite to provide a look at their stock picking research process, market commentary and their favorite stock pitches.
2 Skull Session Expert Insights (via Video) – Recorded and live podcasts that feature conversations with industry experts.
258 Video Clips across all Live Events (Not represented in Chart) – Catch a quick glimpse of some of the more notable clips/key takeaways that are extracted from our Skull Sessions (Fireside Chats, Management Briefings, Twitter Spaces, Expert & Investor Insights, & Forums), then highlighted on our Weekly/Monthly GeoWire Newsletters. We archive all of this material on the video menu section of our Pro Portal.
GeoInvesting is a premier research platform for microcap investors, dedicated to uncovering high-potential stock ideas in undervalued companies across various sectors. With over 30 years of investing experience, GeoInvesting has covered more than 1,500 equities, providing often actionable proprietary research. The platform has been instrumental in identifying 200+ multibagger stocks, and offers investors exclusive access to over 600 management interview clips, allowing for deeper due diligence and understanding of the microcap stocks, many of which make it to market-beating premium Model Portfolios. Join the GeoInvesting community for the best stock research and microcap insights to help you stay ahead in the market. To learn more about our Premium Services, go here.. (https://geoinvesting.com/premium-research/)