GEO Investing

We are on a quest to determine if SMLR’s pullback is presenting a golden opportunity to revisit the stock and see if it can get back to its highs, which would represent returns of over 400%!

Due to our success in experiencing nice returns through buying stocks that pull back hard, we have outlined a 7-step due diligence process to help us understand if the market is overreacting to some seemingly negative news that sent SMLR spiraling downwards.

As a refresher, our string of 10 Buy On Pullback (BOP) Model Portfolios produced returns that would dictate a release of another one very soon.

This month, we are changing things up a little to highlight some useful video clips and discussions that will give you a glimpse into the personalities that have paved the way for many investors in how they approach different strategies to find the best stocks in the market.

This month we wanted to highlight a particular theme that is relevant in today’s market environment –  dealing with volatility and our belief that traditional value investing strategies are about to stage an epic comeback.

This month we will be taking a more comprehensive look into some Studs from GeoInvesting, we will be analyzing 3 companies that have already seen significant upside since our initial coverage. However, that doesn’t mean that we believe that all of these stocks have reached their full growth potentials. 

So, let’s jump right in.

The stocks in our microcap Model Portfolios might get caught up in the capitulative mayhem in a macro sense, but we know that their growth outlooks, combined with their cheap valuations, will make for a recovery that we think will blow the pants off of their mega cap counterparts when this new cloud of dust settles. 

To distill it down just a tad, it’s easier to double a $10 or $20 million revenue base than to double a greater than billion dollar valuation. Furthermore, the potential drop in stock prices of these large companies is steep. They’ve already grown to near their max potential but many still have P/Es in excess of 50x to 100x, or non-applicable P/Es because they’re losing money, which in a literal sense means there is no bottom to the stock’s price until you get to the value of ip, customer base, plants, property and equipment. It won’t take much for the latter to crumble, nor will it take much for the former to excel.

Now, we believe the pendulum has swung to where earnings and P/E ratios will matter again. Hopefully, it will be the dominating factor in valuing companies as we transition from this bear market into the next bull trend. That’s how the environment was set up for the first 20 years of my career, where high-quality undervalued microcap companies were in high demand.

A key take away from the RCMT conference call is that the demand for outsourced staffing growth trends is ripping higher, particularly in the IT and pharma markets. And quite honestly, this makes perfect sense. The U.S. is sitting at its lowest unemployment rate since late 1960’s, wages are increasing, the percent of the population over 55 is growing, the work from home and GIG trends (propensity to not seek full-time employment) are changing things up, immigration to the U.S. is at a low point and the participation rate of people actually looking for jobs is rapidly falling.