GEO Investing

MUEL $15 Million Tender Offer Surprises Market; Will Another Company Follow Suit?

Friday after close $MUEL announced its 2023 financial results, where it reported earnings per share of $4.32 for the fourth quarter and $15.75 per share for the year.

Most importantly, the company published a separate press release that we believe is their attempt at sending a message to the market that they are not a value trap anymore.

They announced they are willing to buy $15 million worth of stock from any shareholder who may want to sell (otherwise known as a tender offer) at $80.00. This price is 15% above the current market price. Furthermore, the amount of shares that could be bought with $15 million represents about 20% of the company’s outstanding shares.

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ZTA? WTF? – Get Ready for Zero Trust Architecture

Deploying effective cybersecurity measures for your business today is a continuous, ongoing battle with cybercriminals; and cybercriminals, like conventional terrorists, have a built-in advantage.  It’s asymmetric warfare – just as it only takes one suicide bomber to breach a physical perimeter, it only takes one response to a phishing email to get past conventional “perimeter-based” IT protections, and thereafter it becomes easy to roam through target networks and extract sensitive data.

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Is a Greater Than 400% Return In The Cards For Semler Scientific, Inc?

We are on a quest to determine if SMLR’s pullback is presenting a golden opportunity to revisit the stock and see if it can get back to its highs, which would represent returns of over 400%!

Due to our success in experiencing nice returns through buying stocks that pull back hard, we have outlined a 7-step due diligence process to help us understand if the market is overreacting to some seemingly negative news that sent SMLR spiraling downwards.

As a refresher, our string of 10 Buy On Pullback (BOP) Model Portfolios produced returns that would dictate a release of another one very soon.

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As We Prep For Fireside Chat with CRMZ Management, a Refresher on Company Through Draco Global’s Quim Abril [GeoWire Weekly No. 86]

Because our next Fireside Chat is with Credit Risk Monitors (OTC:CRMZ), a countercyclical company operating in the credit risk monitoring industry, we thought it would be appropriate to once again draw your attention to a pitch session with Quim Abril, President and Portfolio Manager at Draco Global Fund, during which he presented his bullish take on the company.

As a precursor to the feature with CRMZ, we’d like to focus on 3 clips that will give you a quick bird’s eye view of why Quim is following the company and, in case you missed it, where he thinks the stock could go given a couple of scenarios.

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Featuring Cipher Pharmaceutical Clips From Last Week’s Management Briefing [GeoWire Weekly No. 85]

We had a second opportunity to sit down with Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc (OOTC:CPHRF) (CPH.TO) CEO Craig Mull and CFO Bryan Jacobs on May 18, 2023.

Recall that after having taken a deeper look in 2022 into the the valuation of the company versus its peers and some of the traits it possessed that made the company a stock that we thought warranted a live event with management, we successfully hosted a Fireside Chat with the company in November 2022.

In May 18’s Management Morning Briefing, we aimed to gain a deeper understanding of Cipher Pharmaceuticals’ prospects and how they align with our findings and past discussions.

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Long-term or Short-term Investing? How About Both? [GeoWire Weekly No. 84]

When a stock of yours is doing well, one of the hardest things you will face is deciding if you should make a decision to take short-term profits, especially if you strongly believe the stock has much more potential in the long run. But it gets even worse. Sometimes we make decisions to hold onto stocks longer than their expiration dates because of the “what if it goes up” thoughts that creep into our minds

You want to hold it, but on the same token, you are not being fair to yourself when your discipline promotes a making-money strategy. 

Now, I could have just as well started this post…one of the hardest decisions you’ll have to contemplate as an investor is to let a stock with great potential sit in your portfolio for a very long time. You have faith, after your hours of due diligence, that it will give you great annualized returns in 5, 10 or 20 years, but what if it doesn’t happen on your timeline?  Would the capital that would have been made available with a more swing-style trade be better deployed in another investment? And should you even preoccupy yourself with these thoughts?

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Prelude to a Larger Discussion on Long vs. Short Term Investor Strategy [GeoWire Weekly No. 83]

Last week, we said that we’d be addressing some of the most common shortcomings that plague investors, and provided a cursory overview of one aspect of the investment process that is often overlooked – deep research. We’ll continue with the “investor oversights and failures” theme as we move through May and June, investigating additional facets that are pain points that must be addressed to become successful.

As we continue to ruminate over the next topic, the short term versus long term investing dilemma, we thought that a good prelude to that would be to take a look at some investment scenarios that fit in with that discussion. We’ve covered the topic before, but there is much more to expound upon on the subject that might help us reach some conclusions on the best approach investors should take, or maybe even a blended approach

Personally, in the first part of my full time investing career, much of my focus was in trying to find great companies in the meat of their growth cycles, holding them through that growth cycle and then selling them when the cycles were coming to an end. It was a great formula that worked fantastically for me.

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Are You Failing To Do Proper Research? Here’s An Antidote. [GeoWire Weekly No. 82]

Investing mistakes are common. They are made every day by thousands of investors looking to make a quick buck on YouTube hearsay, a Twitter tip, a Reddit forum discussion or “TikTok guru” just out of college. This leads to poor choices, leaving them vulnerable to misinformation, biases, and market volatility. It ultimately jeopardizes their financial goals.

Basically, when it comes down to it, there are many corners of the internet that prey on the inexperience of new investors, or the apathy of those who don’t see the value of proper due diligence (DD) to confirm, for themselves, if a certain stock is a legitimate investment, or just one that fits within their investment style.

Failure to perform proper DD and document findings is one of the foremost failures that investors face. Unfortunately, it is not the only mistake that is often made. Others include focusing too much on short-term gains, poor portfolio risk management, lack of buy and sell discipline and emotional biases.  Over the coming weeks, we’ll address some of these specifically, but today we are going to stick with the research theme since that is the one that in most cases kickstarts the whole process of finding the right stocks.

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