GEO Investing

There’s a turnaround story unfolding at a power solutions-focused company entering the data center market segment that could help the company reignite growth and reach profitability The company has not inflected to profitability yet, but we are waiting to see if the things management is doing will allow the company to reach break-even results, anytime soon.

Last week, we were very fortunate that the company’s CEO decided to join us for a deep dive into his company’s multiple growth objectives and the pace of the company’s turnaround.

We’ve been on the trail of data center-themed stocks, especially after one of our Top 5 Faves, $TSSI, showboated its way from $0.27 at the beginning of the year to a recent high of $5.67, or over 1,900%.

This multibagger move was helped along by a series of circumstances that all fed into the stock’s momentum, from an obvious data center branding strategy showcasing itself as a major contender in the data center services space (with DELL as its largest customer), to a better than expected Q2 earnings report, to last week’s Hindenburg Research short report on $SMCI.

Earlier this week on Tuesday, Hindenburg Research, currently the most prominent short-seller, released a scathing report on $SMCI. The report alleged various forms of misconduct, including allegations of fraud, accounting irregularities, and related party issues. But what caught our attention most was Hindenburg’s coverage of SMCI’s quality control concerns, citing

This past week, we were able to pass along replays of the interviews I had with the management teams of three companies – $LAKE (replay), $CREX (replay) and $BKTI (replay) – that I agreed to go on record with at Semco Capital’s 4th Annual CEO Networking Event to help give them a platform to answer questions about their businesses. It certainly was a change of pace from the usual Zoom-style meetings that we hold with company execs, so there was an added level of anticipation and excitement at the prospect of in-person meetings with both the executives and peers alike.

A lot happened at GeoInvesting this past week, but arguably the big news of the week was the 55.7% move $TSSI made in reaction to the company’s second quarter 2024 results published on August 14. The delayed price reaction in the morning did not capture the essence of the bullish developments transpiring at the company. Those developments were communicated in the related earnings conference call that began at 9 AM Eastern time. It’s going to go down as a classic case study in information arbitrage.

Sam McColgan’s investment strategy centers around four key principles: Momentum, Monopoly, Margin of Safety, and Management. He looks for stocks with strong price and fundamental momentum, ensuring quicker price realization. He targets companies with a monopoly in their niche or those that are best in class, securing a competitive edge. Sam emphasizes the importance of a margin of safety, focusing on undervalued stocks to minimize downside risk. Finally, he prioritizes investing in companies with high-integrity and competent management teams, believing that strong leadership is crucial for long-term success.

While small caps experienced a significant rally in July, a good amount of those gains have vanished, with a sharp decline accelerating after July 31. Concurrently, large-cap companies have continued substantial drops that began in July as small caps took centerstage for a few seconds.

Recession fears have resurfaced among market commentators, echoing concerns that were prevalent but largely unfounded over the past decade. Despite this, our focus remains steadfast on long-term fundamentals, unaffected by the prevailing market sentiment.

During market downturns or panics, our advantage as fundamental investors is magnified. These periods allow us to identify quality companies with great earnings or high-probability turnaround companies that are overlooked due to their microcap status. That is why in our next Monthly Open Forum slated for early next week, we are announcing that Buy on Pullback Portfolio #12 is on deck and ready to be constructed, with candidates being part of that conversation.