In light of the riskier market environment we are in, I have been writing to you about our new Recession Proof and Recession Resistant Model Portfolios. A great related next step is to dive deeper into the tunnel and focus on the topic of Chapter 11 Bankruptcy and how to profit by focusing on two buckets: 1)
Companies that survive a bankruptcy process. Will Muscle Pharm Corp (OTC:MSLPQ) be a candidate? 2) Companies whose businesses will actually benefit as bankruptcies increase.
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We’ll be getting back to the normal Monthly GeoWire format next month, but we wanted to take this first edition of the new year to look back at everything we were up to in 2022. Don’t worry, we will be getting back to our normal video format starting in February.
This month’s GeoWire will be split up into 2 issues – one today, and the other next week. A lot happened in 2022, and we thought it was best to split it up into two separate posts to be able to put adequate focus on the themes we want to discuss.
This Week: The stock market and recession, our new Model Recession Portfolios, and still the chance to participate in our special offer for 2023.
In 2016 we addressed the dichotomous approach to understanding the differences between generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and non-GAAP earnings. There are ways they should be scrutinized when trying to get a sense if numbers being reported by a company are a true representation of what is going on at the net income level. Non-GAAP financials are also referred to as “adjusted.” For example, “adjusted earnings per share (EPS) or “adjusted earnings before interest taxes & depreciation & amortization (EBITDA).
Because we plan on delving into this subject in a Tweet thread that we anticipate will engage our investor network and extensions thereof, we feel it is a good idea to give another primer on the subject, especially since GeoInvesting’s Premium Subscriber base has grown substantially since 2016.
If part of your investment strategy is executing bullish or bearish short-term stock trades on earnings report news flow, it’s extremely important to understand if the GAAP and Non-GAAP earnings per share numbers being reported in a press release are “clean”.
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The sales, earnings and thus share prices of cyclical stocks (cyclicals) tend to fluctuate with the overall economy and are associated with industries that are heavily affected by the economic cycle and consumer demand. (Example: stocks in the automotive, airline, hospitality, housing, building material and retail industries).
Cyclicals do well when the economy is strong and consumer demand is high, and conversely, can suffer when the economy is weak and consumer demand is low. This makes them an attractive investment class for those who are skilled at identifying economic trends or when it becomes fairly obvious that an economy is peaking or bottoming.