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Zon4Ever 03-Nov-2010 10:47 PM
Post Type: Public Public
Chinese Companies Buying Back Stock (#4127) 03-Nov-2010 10:47 PM

 

 Price2010 EPS estimate2011 EPS estimateGrowth Rate (20110P/E on 2010P/E on 2011Notes
Autochina Intl (NASDAQ:AUTC)24.711.91357.07%12.94 8.24Bank Loan helps establish credibility. Price likely held back due to weak EPS growth for the remainder of 2010 EPS. Growth becomes consistent in 2011 . We are still probing into dilution issues.
China Mediaexpress Holdin (NASDAQ:CCME)16.712.612.651.53%6.40 6.31Starr international increased holdings. Global Hunter reports positive on the ground due diligence. EPS comparisons will become challenging unless an acquisition is consummated. Tier one stock. 
China Fire & Security (NASDAQ:CFSG)8.061.211.4217.36%6.66 5.68EPS is expected to grow at least 30% for the next four quarters, before significantly trailing off during the second half of 2011.
China-Biotics (NASDAQ:CHBT)13.001.642.234.15%7.93 5.91Expect 3 consecutive quarters of 20% + growth. Except for first quarter, 2011 EPS are expected to grow significantly. 
Cdc Corp Cl A (NASDAQ:CHINA)4.540.30.5376.67%15.13 8.57Renews repurchase program that began in 2009. Reverse split makes stock more appealing to investors. EPS in the last half of 2010 will be weak, but is expected to rebound in 2011. Investors may be speculating that company will IPO its subsidiaries. Was an IPO. 
China Medicine (OTC BB:CHME)2.50n/an/an/an/an/aStill waiting for up-listing and EPS growth to improve. EPS growth has been inconsistent
China Marine Food (NYSE AMEX:CMFO)6.500.781.0534.62%8.33 6.19Insider buys significant amount of stock. Global Hunter reduces EPS estimates. 2011 EPS growth is expected to be at least 30%. Upgrades auditor.
China Mass Media Adr (NYSE:CMM)2.300.270.3322.22%8.52 6.97EPS growth not quite there. Selling under book. 
China Information (NASDAQ:CNIT)6.400.740.8920.27%8.65 7.19Unexciting quarterly growth for most of 2011, but PEG ratio is low.
Cogo Group (NASDAQ:COGO)7.370.790.8912.66%9.33 8.28Bank loans approved.
Ifm Investments Adr (NYSE:CTC)5.30-0.450.23-151.11%(11.78)23.04Fairly valued on 2011 EPS estimate.
Deer Consumer Products (NASDAQ:DEER)11.650.770.9725.97%15.13 12.01Tier one company. EPS growth for the remainder of 2010 is healthy. Growth expected to resume after flat growth in the first two quarters of 2011. However, 2011 guidance implies higher 2011 numbers than analysts.
Focus Media Holding Adr (NASDAQ:FMCN)26.331.131.315.04%23.30 20.25Buying back stock at high is good sign. IPO. Pricey P/E
Giant Interactive Group Ads (NYSE:GA)7.110.520.6117.31%13.67 11.66IPO. Did not buy back stock during a previous program implemented in August 2009
Kingtone Wirelessinfo Solution Holding Ltd (NASDAQ:KONE)3.35n/an/an/an/an/aTies with CGA management. Auditor is Kabani. Unresolved risk disclosures in filings.
Noah Edu Holding Ltd Ads (NYSE:NED)1.960.060.36500.00%32.67 5.44Expected to lose money in 2011
China Nepstar Chain Drugs Adr (NYSE:NPD)4.790.080.1475.00%59.88 34.21High P/E on 2011 numbers
Tri-Tech (NASDAQ:TRIT)13.551.121.5336.61%12.10 8.86EPS growth becomes consistent after the 2011 third quarter when EPS is slated to grow at least 35% for five quarters. Contract wins accelerating. see alert
Vanceinfo Technologies Adr (NYSE:VIT)37.370.78128.21%47.91 37.37Projected to achieve 6 straight quarters of 30%+ EPS growth. Has P/E of 35 on 2011 EPS estimate. Beautiful chart
Zst Digital Networks (NASDAQ:ZSTN)8.041.611.641.86%4.99 4.90EPS growth is only expected to be 1.86% in 2011. But has been exceeding estimates.
China Armco Metals (NYSE AMEX:CNAM)3.53n/an/an/an/an/aAndrew Ward makes significant purchases. High risk/high reward play. Balance sheet is not the strongest. Quarters can be volatile.
Andatee China Marine Fuel Adr (NASDAQ:AMCF)4.93$0.96 1.114.58%5.14 4.482011 EPS growth is forecast to be lumpy

 

CHINA, TRIT, DEER are our favorites from this list. We still hold some CCME, but are fearful that shorts will attack the story as it shares continue to rise. SAIC files for DEER and CCME do not match SEC filings. CHBT and CMFO could be winners if they are able to successfully combat fraud allegations. CHBT and CMFO both have long-term options, which may be an interesting way to play these stocks, as we have done with ONP.

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