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 Tracking 607 U.S. listed China Stocks and Counting...
 Tracking 472 U.S. Stocks and Counting...

 Cpi Aerostructures Inc (NYSE AMEX:CVU)

Monday, August 17, 2009

Valuation Scenarios

Added to GeoBargain List on February 4, 2009. ($5.00). 

Data Inputs:

Fiscal Year Ends in December
2008 EPS: $.42

Date 03/27/09 08/14/09
Price $6.65 $7.40
12 Months Trailing EPS $0.42 $0.52
Implied Midpoint 2009 EPS Based on Company Guidance $0.68 $0.66
Future EPS Growth Rate Based on Company Guidance 61.9% 57.1%
Trailing P/E Ratio 15.83 14.23
PEG Ratio (P/E divided by growth rate) 0.26 0.23


Short-Term Valuation Scenarios

Date 03/27/09 08/14/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS $10.50 $13.00
Price Based on P/E of 20 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS $8.40 $10.40
Price Based on Implied 2009 EPS Company Guidance $10.20 $9.90


Long-Term (12 Months Forward) Valuation Scenarios

Date 03/27/09 08/14/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on Implied 2009 EPS Company Guidance $17.00 $16.50
Price Based on P/E of 20 on Implied 2009 EPS Company Guidance $13.60 $13.20


Peg Ratio Analysis - Common rule of thumb that PEG ratio should be less than 1.0

PEG Ratio Less than 1? YES

These scenarios are not investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines.  They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions.


Sunday, March 29, 2009

Valuation Scenario Update:

Data Inputs: (As of March 27, 2009)

Price $6.65
Trailing EPS $0.42
2009 EPS based on company guidance $0.68
Future EPS growth based on 2009 guidance  61.90%
Trailing P/E Ratio 15.83
PEG Ratio (P/E divided by growth rate) 0.26

Short Term  Scenarios

Price Based on P/E of 25 on four quarters trailing EPS $10.50
Price Based on P/E of 20 on four quarters trailing EPS $8.4
Price Based on P/E of 15 on 2009 EPS guidance  $10.2

Long Term (12 Months Forward) Scenario

Price Based on P/E of 25 on 2009 EPS guidance  $17.00
Price Based on P/E of 20 on 2009 EPS guidance  $13.6

Peg Ratio Analysis (Aggressive):  Common rule of thumb that the P/E should equal the future EPS growth rate:

PEG Ratio less than 1? Yes
Price Based on Current Price/PEG $25.58

These scenarios are not intended to be investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines. They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions


Saturday, February 14, 2009

Valuation Scenarios:

Data Inputs: (As of February 12, 2009)

Price $4.96
Trailing EPS $0.36
2009 EPS based on company guidance $0.68
Future EPS growth based on 2009 guidance  57.69%
Trailing P/E Ratio 13.88
PEG Ratio (P/E divided by growth rate) 0.24

Short Term  Scenarios

Price Based on P/E of 25 on four quarters trailing EPS $9.00
Price Based onP/E of 20 on four quarters trailing EPS $7.20
Price Based on P/E of 15 on 2009 EPS guidance  $10.2

Long Term (12 Months Forward) Scenario

Price Based onP/E of 25 on 2009 EPS guidance  $17.00
Price Based on P/E of 20 on 2009 EPS guidance  $13.6

Peg Ratio Analysis (Aggressive):  Common rule of thumb that the P/E should equal the future EPS growth rate:

PEG Ratio less than 1? Yes
Price Based on Current Price/PEG $19.88

These scenarios are not intended to be investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines. They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions