China Green Agriculture (NYSE:CGA)

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Monday, August 3, 2009

Potential Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Scenarios:

Coded as a GeoBargain on April 2, 2009 at a price of $3.38

Data Inputs:

Fiscal Year Ends in June

Date	4/13/09	5/12/09	8/03/09
Price	$4.26	$7.35	$13.19
12 Months Trailing EPS	$0.39	$0.48	$0.57 ^b
Published 2010 Analyst EPS Estimates ^a	$0.71	$0.71	$0.71
Future EPS Growth Rate Based on 2010 Estimates ^a	43%	23%	25.0% ^b
Trailing P/E Ratio	10.92	15.21	23.14
PEG Ratio (P/E divided by growth rate) ^a	0.25	0.66	0.93

^a CGA is not paying a full U.S. tax rate. Therefore, All EPS numbers have been adjusted by the GeoTeam® to reflect an U.S. tax rate of 36%.

^b Growth rate calculated assuming that China Green meets its 2009 earnings per share objectives.

Short-Term Valuation Scenarios

Date	4/13/09	5/12/09	8/03/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS	$9.75	$12.00	$14.25
Price Based on P/E of 20 on Four Quarters Trailing EPS	$7.80	$9.60	$11.4
Price Based on P/E of 15 on 2010 Analyst EPS Estimates ^b	$10.65	$10.65	$10.65

Long-Term (12 Months Forward) Valuation Scenarios

Date	4/13/09	5/12/09	8/03/09
Price Based on P/E of 25 on 2010 Analyst EPS Estimates ^b	$17.75	$17.75	$17.75
Price Based on P/E of 20 on 2010 Analyst EPS Estimates ^b	$14.20	$14.20	$14.20

Peg Ratio Analysis - Common rule of thumb that PEG ratio should be less than 1.0

PEG Ratio Less than 1?

YES

^b 2010 Analyst estimates and the future EPS growth rate may prove to be conservative in light of the company's third quarter report. The GeoTeam® will provide an update if warranted.

These scenarios are not investment advice, but are scenarios based on some commonly used investment guidelines. They are provided to aid investors in making their own investment decisions.