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 Tracking 605 U.S. listed China Stocks and Counting...
 Tracking 467 U.S. Stocks and Counting...

 China Agritech Inc (NASDAQ:CAGC)

YesRecent 52-week high
Yes30% Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth rate
Yes10% revenue growth year over year
NoStrong balance sheet
Yes15% minimum return on equity (ROE)
Yes8% minimum pre-tax margins
YesUnder 50 million shares outstanding
YesHigh insider ownership
NoLimited institutional ownership
YesP/E at least 1/2 of EPS growth rate

CAGC Remains on GeoBargain List

CAGC had a huge run from in its initial inclusion on the GeoBargain list on.  The company should report 2009 EPS of close to $1.30, giving it a trailing P/E of around 16.  Because of the stock’s low P/E, we will keep it on the GeoBargain List.  We generally remove a stock from this list if it attains a trailing P/E of 25 or a forward P/E of 15.  The company has issued strong 2010 revenue guidance. However, given the stock’s huge run, uncertainty surrounding 2010 EPS and CAGC's recently shelf offering (giving them the ability to issue stock) may make it prudent to take some profits off the table.

We do think that management has an under-promise over-deliver type of philosophy, so we will monitor developments closely for:

  • News that would increase guidance such as an acquisition
  • Clarity on 2010 EPS Guidance
  • Trading opportunities if the stock pulls back

Wednesday, February 17, 2010